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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.02+0.66vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+1.26vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.37+0.04vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.27-1.03vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.31-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.66Webb Institute1.0256.1%1st Place
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3.26SUNY Stony Brook-0.5810.5%1st Place
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3.04Syracuse University-0.3713.8%1st Place
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2.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.2714.2%1st Place
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4.08SUNY Stony Brook-1.315.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burke Kanemasu | 56.1% | 27.2% | 11.8% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Magill | 10.5% | 19.3% | 23.6% | 27.2% | 19.4% |
| Alec Wyers | 13.8% | 22.1% | 25.4% | 24.2% | 14.5% |
| Josh Beavis | 14.2% | 23.0% | 27.4% | 22.6% | 12.8% |
| Adam Zeng | 5.3% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 21.7% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.