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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+6.34vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.02+7.06vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+7.84vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.71+5.96vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.09+7.41vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.58+4.69vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.87+2.44vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.21-0.04vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.74-3.16vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.97-0.74vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.42-3.66vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.51-0.71vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.63-6.75vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.01-5.47vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.56-4.30vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.96-6.91vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.34-1.86vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.73-8.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.06University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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10.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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9.96U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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12.41Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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10.69Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.44Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.96Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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5.84Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.26Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.34Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.29George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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6.25Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.53Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.7Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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9.09University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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15.14University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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9.86Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanna Vincent | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.3% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 15.9% | 13.6% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.5% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.6% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.7% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Maria Sinagra | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% |
| Lily Katz | 11.5% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Courtney Koos | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% |
| Amina Brown | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 14.3% | 44.9% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.