← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Webb Institute1.02+0.68vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Stony Brook-1.31+2.04vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+0.24vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.27-1.03vs Predicted
-
5Syracuse University-0.37-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.68Webb Institute1.0255.8%1st Place
-
4.04SUNY Stony Brook-1.315.9%1st Place
-
3.24SUNY Stony Brook-0.5811.8%1st Place
-
2.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.2714.1%1st Place
-
3.07Syracuse University-0.3712.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burke Kanemasu | 55.8% | 26.5% | 12.6% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Adam Zeng | 5.9% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 20.1% | 51.9% |
| Ryan Magill | 11.8% | 18.7% | 22.8% | 27.0% | 19.8% |
| Josh Beavis | 14.1% | 23.7% | 26.4% | 22.5% | 13.3% |
| Alec Wyers | 12.4% | 22.6% | 24.7% | 26.1% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.