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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Unknown School-0.13+2.06vs Predicted
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2Embry-Riddle University-0.87+2.36vs Predicted
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3Rollins College-0.91+1.39vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.80+0.17vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.50-1.35vs Predicted
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6University of Florida-1.84-2.11vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-1.58-1.47vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-2.56-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Unknown School-0.1323.2%1st Place
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4.36Embry-Riddle University-0.8711.9%1st Place
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4.39Rollins College-0.9111.4%1st Place
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4.17Rollins College-0.8012.6%1st Place
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3.65Rollins College-0.5016.9%1st Place
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3.89University of Florida-1.8414.4%1st Place
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5.53Embry-Riddle University-1.586.8%1st Place
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6.94Embry-Riddle University-2.562.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
James McGirr | 23.2% | 20.9% | 19.4% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
Alexander Chidester | 11.9% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 4.6% |
William Ciniski | 11.4% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 5.1% |
Jason Goldsmith | 12.6% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 3.9% |
Emma Kunz | 16.9% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 2.3% |
Marco Distel | 14.4% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 3.5% |
Justin Folan | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 27.8% | 17.5% |
Sergio Carli | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 62.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.