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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Florida-1.84+2.98vs Predicted
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2Rollins College-0.91+2.41vs Predicted
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3Unknown School-0.13+0.03vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.50-0.32vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University-0.87-0.67vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.80-1.93vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-1.58-1.48vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-2.56-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98University of Florida-1.8413.1%1st Place
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4.41Rollins College-0.9110.3%1st Place
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3.03Unknown School-0.1325.9%1st Place
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3.68Rollins College-0.5017.8%1st Place
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4.33Embry-Riddle University-0.8711.6%1st Place
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4.07Rollins College-0.8013.2%1st Place
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5.52Embry-Riddle University-1.585.7%1st Place
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6.98Embry-Riddle University-2.562.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Distel | 13.1% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 2.9% |
| William Ciniski | 10.3% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 5.1% |
| James McGirr | 25.9% | 21.1% | 17.5% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Emma Kunz | 17.8% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 2.6% |
| Alexander Chidester | 11.6% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 4.8% |
| Jason Goldsmith | 13.2% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 4.2% |
| Justin Folan | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 26.7% | 17.0% |
| Sergio Carli | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 14.4% | 62.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.