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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+5.14vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.97+7.21vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+4.34vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.02+4.69vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+5.44vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.73+4.05vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.51+3.94vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.21-0.03vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.09+3.61vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.63-3.42vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.71-0.72vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.01-2.77vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.42-5.97vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.87-4.88vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.58-4.39vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.96-6.91vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.34-1.85vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.56-7.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.21Boston College2.970.0%1st Place
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7.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.69University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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10.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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10.05Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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10.94George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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7.97Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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12.61Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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6.58Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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10.28U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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9.23Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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7.03Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.12Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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10.61Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.09University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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15.15University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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10.52Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 4.9% |
| Solvig Sayre | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 3.4% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 12.0% |
| Lily Katz | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 4.8% |
| Amina Brown | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 47.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.