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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Unknown School-0.13+2.18vs Predicted
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2University of Florida-1.84+1.95vs Predicted
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3Rollins College-0.80+0.94vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.50-0.35vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.91-0.62vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-1.58-0.40vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-0.87-2.70vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-2.56-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18Unknown School-0.1322.2%1st Place
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3.95University of Florida-1.8413.5%1st Place
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3.94Rollins College-0.8014.4%1st Place
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3.65Rollins College-0.5017.5%1st Place
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4.38Rollins College-0.9112.0%1st Place
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5.6Embry-Riddle University-1.586.0%1st Place
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4.3Embry-Riddle University-0.8711.9%1st Place
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7.0Embry-Riddle University-2.562.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James McGirr | 22.2% | 21.5% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Marco Distel | 13.5% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 2.8% |
| Jason Goldsmith | 14.4% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 3.1% |
| Emma Kunz | 17.5% | 15.6% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| William Ciniski | 12.0% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 5.5% |
| Justin Folan | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 28.3% | 17.6% |
| Alexander Chidester | 11.9% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 11.8% | 4.5% |
| Sergio Carli | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 14.5% | 63.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.