Race 4A

lake-virginia-invatational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jackson McGeough 17.2% 18.3% 17.1% 12.8% 10.8% 9.6% 7.4% 3.8% 2.4% 0.6%
Herminio Agront 8.6% 9.6% 9.7% 10.8% 11.1% 11.5% 12.5% 10.8% 8.8% 6.6%
James McGirr 14.4% 14.4% 13.9% 13.2% 13.5% 9.9% 8.7% 7.1% 3.6% 1.3%
Brian Sargent 4.9% 4.8% 5.1% 6.9% 7.3% 9.8% 10.5% 13.7% 16.9% 20.2%
Julian Wright 16.1% 14.3% 15.3% 12.4% 12.7% 10.5% 8.2% 5.9% 3.2% 1.4%
Judith Laskowski 15.0% 11.0% 12.3% 13.2% 11.2% 11.6% 9.0% 8.8% 5.7% 2.1%
Alexander Chidester 6.8% 9.2% 7.7% 8.5% 9.7% 11.2% 11.7% 13.2% 13.9% 8.2%
Marco Distel 10.2% 10.7% 9.1% 10.2% 10.4% 11.6% 12.4% 10.2% 9.4% 5.8%
Justin Folan 3.5% 3.6% 4.7% 5.6% 6.2% 6.5% 8.2% 12.6% 18.4% 30.6%
Matthew Skowronek 3.5% 4.2% 5.1% 6.4% 7.0% 8.1% 11.2% 13.8% 17.6% 23.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.