← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Illinois1.60+2.28vs Predicted
-
2University of Notre Dame1.24+1.98vs Predicted
-
3University of Saint Thomas0.88+1.83vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin1.32-0.12vs Predicted
-
5Northwestern University-0.54+3.26vs Predicted
-
6University of Wisconsin0.36+0.15vs Predicted
-
7Marquette University-0.55+1.31vs Predicted
-
8University of Michigan0.85-2.98vs Predicted
-
9Northwestern University-0.74-0.29vs Predicted
-
10Purdue University0.02-3.08vs Predicted
-
11University of Minnesota-1.57-0.81vs Predicted
-
12Michigan State University-0.60-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.28University of Illinois1.6022.8%1st Place
-
3.98University of Notre Dame1.2416.7%1st Place
-
4.83University of Saint Thomas0.8812.2%1st Place
-
3.88University of Wisconsin1.3216.6%1st Place
-
8.26Northwestern University-0.543.2%1st Place
-
6.15University of Wisconsin0.365.5%1st Place
-
8.31Marquette University-0.552.6%1st Place
-
5.02University of Michigan0.8510.4%1st Place
-
8.71Northwestern University-0.741.9%1st Place
-
6.92Purdue University0.024.8%1st Place
-
10.19University of Minnesota-1.571.4%1st Place
-
8.47Michigan State University-0.601.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarkan Bolat | 22.8% | 20.2% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 16.7% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Greg Bittle | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Higgins | 16.6% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Anna Kovacs | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 10.4% |
| Annabel Bridges | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Etain McKinney | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 11.5% |
| Emily Pytell | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Dexter Gormley | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 18.2% | 15.8% |
| Alex Day | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
| John Cayen | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 46.2% |
| Brynna Smith | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 17.4% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.