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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.02+7.61vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+3.81vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.38+4.23vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.87+4.98vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.71+4.63vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.51+4.55vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.97+1.65vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.09+3.98vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.17vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.73-0.09vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.49+3.19vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.42-4.81vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.24+1.64vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.21-6.54vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.63-8.93vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-5.86vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.96-8.24vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.34-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.61University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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5.81Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.23Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.98Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.63U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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10.55Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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8.65Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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11.98Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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6.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.91Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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14.19Harvard University1.490.0%1st Place
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7.19Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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14.64George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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7.46Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.07Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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10.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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8.76University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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14.38University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanel Miller | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.9% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 6.9% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 5.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Julia Lord | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 19.2% | 23.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 19.1% | 29.7% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Lily Katz | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Amina Brown | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 17.8% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.