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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.97+7.81vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.02+6.66vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.38+4.29vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.63+2.09vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.71+4.60vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.21+1.70vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-0.16vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+1.92vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.73+0.53vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.09+2.27vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.87-1.82vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.42-4.85vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.51-2.75vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.74-8.47vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.24-0.16vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.96-7.26vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.34-2.36vs Predicted
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18Harvard University1.49-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.81Boston College2.970.0%1st Place
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8.66University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.29Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.09Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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9.6U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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7.7Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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9.53Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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12.27Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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9.18Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.15Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.25Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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5.53Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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14.84George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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8.74University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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14.64University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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13.96Harvard University1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Naughton | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lily Katz | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 8.8% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 13.0% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 18.2% | 31.5% |
| Amina Brown | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 20.6% | 29.4% |
| Julia Lord | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 18.9% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.