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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.60+2.31vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.32+1.87vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.85+2.05vs Predicted
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4University of Saint Thomas0.88+0.84vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.36+1.06vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame1.24-2.12vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.54+1.19vs Predicted
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8Purdue University0.02-1.03vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-0.60-0.49vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.74-1.22vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-0.55-2.77vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota-1.57-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31University of Illinois1.6022.6%1st Place
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3.87University of Wisconsin1.3217.4%1st Place
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5.05University of Michigan0.8510.6%1st Place
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4.84University of Saint Thomas0.8810.8%1st Place
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6.06University of Wisconsin0.366.8%1st Place
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3.88University of Notre Dame1.2416.1%1st Place
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8.19Northwestern University-0.543.4%1st Place
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6.97Purdue University0.024.6%1st Place
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8.51Michigan State University-0.602.2%1st Place
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8.78Northwestern University-0.741.8%1st Place
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8.23Marquette University-0.553.0%1st Place
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10.31University of Minnesota-1.570.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarkan Bolat | 22.6% | 21.1% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Higgins | 17.4% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Pytell | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Greg Bittle | 10.8% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Annabel Bridges | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 16.1% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Anna Kovacs | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 10.9% |
| Alex Day | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 7.6% | 2.5% |
| Brynna Smith | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 18.9% | 11.4% |
| Dexter Gormley | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 19.1% | 15.4% |
| Etain McKinney | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 10.0% |
| John Cayen | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 17.4% | 47.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.