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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.87+8.51vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.97+7.04vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.63+3.46vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.96+4.82vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.51+5.63vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.51+4.81vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+3.34vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.74-2.15vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.38-1.86vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.21-1.84vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.73-1.00vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.71-1.69vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.02-4.48vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.34+0.54vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.42-7.99vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-8.94vs Predicted
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17Harvard University1.49-2.42vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.09-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.51Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.04Boston College2.970.0%1st Place
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6.46Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.82University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.63George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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10.81Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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10.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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5.85Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.14Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.16Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.0Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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10.31U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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8.52University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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14.54University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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7.01Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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14.58Harvard University1.490.0%1st Place
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12.24Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corina Radtke | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Lily Katz | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Amina Brown | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 2.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.7% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 16.5% | 34.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Julia Lord | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 17.6% | 31.8% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.