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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.60+2.40vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.88+3.08vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame1.24+1.00vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.85+1.19vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.32-0.87vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.36+0.37vs Predicted
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7Purdue University0.92-2.04vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.54+0.45vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.74-0.14vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-0.60-1.27vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota-1.57-0.67vs Predicted
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12Marquette University-0.55-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4University of Illinois1.6023.3%1st Place
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5.08University of Saint Thomas0.889.7%1st Place
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4.0University of Notre Dame1.2416.6%1st Place
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5.19University of Michigan0.8510.3%1st Place
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4.13University of Wisconsin1.3214.9%1st Place
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6.37University of Wisconsin0.365.0%1st Place
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4.96Purdue University0.9210.8%1st Place
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8.45Northwestern University-0.541.9%1st Place
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8.86Northwestern University-0.741.7%1st Place
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8.73Michigan State University-0.601.8%1st Place
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10.33University of Minnesota-1.571.2%1st Place
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8.5Marquette University-0.552.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarkan Bolat | 23.3% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greg Bittle | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 16.6% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Pytell | 10.3% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Higgins | 14.9% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annabel Bridges | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Odey Hariri | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Anna Kovacs | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 16.9% | 10.9% |
| Dexter Gormley | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 20.6% | 14.8% |
| Brynna Smith | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 19.2% | 13.6% |
| John Cayen | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 18.4% | 47.0% |
| Etain McKinney | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.