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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.60+2.42vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.92+2.95vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.32+1.14vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame1.24+0.03vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.36+1.28vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.85-0.91vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.74+1.84vs Predicted
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8University of Saint Thomas0.88-2.81vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.54-0.52vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-0.55-1.52vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota-1.57-0.61vs Predicted
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12Michigan State University-0.60-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42University of Illinois1.6021.7%1st Place
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4.95Purdue University0.9211.6%1st Place
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4.14University of Wisconsin1.3215.3%1st Place
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4.03University of Notre Dame1.2416.2%1st Place
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6.28University of Wisconsin0.365.5%1st Place
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5.09University of Michigan0.8511.4%1st Place
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8.84Northwestern University-0.742.3%1st Place
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5.19University of Saint Thomas0.888.8%1st Place
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8.48Northwestern University-0.542.1%1st Place
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8.48Marquette University-0.552.1%1st Place
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10.39University of Minnesota-1.571.0%1st Place
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8.71Michigan State University-0.601.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarkan Bolat | 21.7% | 19.5% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Odey Hariri | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Higgins | 15.3% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 16.2% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Annabel Bridges | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Emily Pytell | 11.4% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Dexter Gormley | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 17.4% | 19.5% | 15.5% |
| Greg Bittle | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Anna Kovacs | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 18.5% | 11.2% |
| Etain McKinney | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 11.6% |
| John Cayen | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 18.2% | 48.0% |
| Brynna Smith | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.