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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.85+4.15vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois1.60+1.41vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.32+1.11vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.92+1.04vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.24-0.89vs Predicted
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6University of Saint Thomas0.88-0.98vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.36-0.63vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.74+0.99vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota-1.57+1.35vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-0.60-1.43vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-0.55-2.53vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-0.54-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15University of Michigan0.859.5%1st Place
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3.41University of Illinois1.6022.3%1st Place
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4.11University of Wisconsin1.3216.0%1st Place
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5.04Purdue University0.9210.1%1st Place
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4.11University of Notre Dame1.2416.3%1st Place
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5.02University of Saint Thomas0.8810.5%1st Place
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6.37University of Wisconsin0.365.4%1st Place
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8.99Northwestern University-0.741.7%1st Place
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10.35University of Minnesota-1.570.9%1st Place
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8.57Michigan State University-0.602.3%1st Place
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8.47Marquette University-0.552.5%1st Place
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8.39Northwestern University-0.542.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Pytell | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 22.3% | 19.1% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Higgins | 16.0% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Odey Hariri | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 16.3% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Greg Bittle | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Annabel Bridges | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Dexter Gormley | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 20.6% | 15.8% |
| John Cayen | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 49.3% |
| Brynna Smith | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 18.9% | 12.7% |
| Etain McKinney | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 18.0% | 17.9% | 9.6% |
| Anna Kovacs | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.