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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+5.05vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+8.62vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+4.28vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42+2.91vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.21+2.85vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.73+3.90vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.38+0.22vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.51+2.60vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.97-0.18vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-0.82vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.71-0.99vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.87-2.34vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.34+1.65vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.63-7.97vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.09-2.65vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.02-7.28vs Predicted
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17Harvard University1.49-2.43vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.51-7.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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7.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.91Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.85Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.9Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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7.22Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.6George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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8.82Boston College2.970.0%1st Place
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9.18University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.01U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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9.66Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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14.65University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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6.03Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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12.35Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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8.72University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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14.57Harvard University1.490.0%1st Place
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10.57Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 11.0% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.7% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Amina Brown | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Killian Corbishley | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 17.2% | 34.4% |
| Lily Katz | 10.6% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 10.8% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Julia Lord | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 19.3% | 31.5% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.