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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+6.43vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+5.21vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.02+5.91vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42+2.97vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.87+4.18vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.97+2.87vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.71+2.88vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.21-0.15vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.51+1.75vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-0.84vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.74-5.02vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.63-5.40vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.51-2.37vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.73-4.42vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.09-2.64vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-5.59vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.34-2.05vs Predicted
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18Harvard University1.49-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.91University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.97Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.18Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.87Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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7.85Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.75George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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9.16University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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5.98Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.6Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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10.63Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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9.58Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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12.36Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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10.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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14.95University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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14.29Harvard University1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Amina Brown | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.9% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lily Katz | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.4% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 10.6% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 3.2% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 17.5% | 38.2% |
| Julia Lord | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 17.9% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.