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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.88+4.08vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.32+2.05vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois1.60+0.38vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame1.24+0.18vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.85+0.20vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.36+0.36vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.74+1.86vs Predicted
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8Purdue University0.92-2.97vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-0.60-0.41vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.54-1.58vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota-1.57-0.61vs Predicted
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12Marquette University-0.55-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08University of Saint Thomas0.889.8%1st Place
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4.05University of Wisconsin1.3215.4%1st Place
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3.38University of Illinois1.6022.9%1st Place
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4.18University of Notre Dame1.2415.6%1st Place
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5.2University of Michigan0.8510.2%1st Place
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6.36University of Wisconsin0.365.8%1st Place
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8.86Northwestern University-0.741.8%1st Place
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5.03Purdue University0.9210.7%1st Place
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8.59Michigan State University-0.602.1%1st Place
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8.42Northwestern University-0.542.2%1st Place
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10.39University of Minnesota-1.570.8%1st Place
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8.46Marquette University-0.552.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Bittle | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Higgins | 15.4% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 22.9% | 19.9% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 15.6% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Pytell | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Annabel Bridges | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Dexter Gormley | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 20.4% | 15.7% |
| Odey Hariri | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Brynna Smith | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 18.3% | 17.4% | 12.5% |
| Anna Kovacs | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 17.9% | 10.6% |
| John Cayen | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 18.4% | 47.4% |
| Etain McKinney | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 17.3% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.