Race 7A

morton-schapiro

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Tarkan Bolat 22.8% 21.7% 17.2% 14.0% 11.2% 7.5% 4.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Szymanski 17.0% 15.6% 16.6% 15.8% 13.7% 9.3% 7.0% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Dexter Gormley 2.1% 2.5% 2.7% 3.5% 5.5% 6.5% 9.6% 12.7% 18.6% 19.9% 16.6%
Katherine Higgins 18.4% 17.2% 15.9% 13.2% 14.2% 9.8% 5.8% 3.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Kate Crannell 2.6% 3.8% 3.7% 3.9% 5.1% 7.4% 10.7% 15.3% 17.3% 18.1% 11.9%
Emily Pytell 10.9% 11.8% 12.8% 13.9% 13.0% 13.8% 10.4% 7.7% 3.8% 1.6% 0.2%
Annabel Bridges 5.9% 7.3% 8.9% 10.3% 10.4% 13.2% 16.1% 12.6% 8.0% 5.9% 1.4%
Etain McKinney 2.6% 2.8% 3.8% 5.1% 5.9% 8.0% 10.2% 14.3% 18.3% 18.2% 10.7%
Odey Hariri 13.0% 12.8% 13.5% 14.1% 12.7% 14.1% 9.7% 6.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
Anna Kovacs 2.9% 3.4% 3.5% 4.9% 5.4% 7.2% 11.9% 14.9% 17.2% 17.8% 10.8%
John Cayen 1.8% 1.1% 1.3% 1.4% 2.7% 3.1% 4.7% 7.9% 11.2% 17.0% 48.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.