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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.60+2.07vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame1.24+1.70vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.85+1.67vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.32-0.30vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.92-0.51vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.36-0.23vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-0.60+0.68vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.54-0.29vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.74-0.84vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-0.55-2.39vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota-1.57-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07University of Illinois1.6025.4%1st Place
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3.7University of Notre Dame1.2417.5%1st Place
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4.67University of Michigan0.8510.2%1st Place
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3.7University of Wisconsin1.3217.3%1st Place
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4.49Purdue University0.9212.8%1st Place
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5.77University of Wisconsin0.365.9%1st Place
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7.68Michigan State University-0.602.3%1st Place
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7.71Northwestern University-0.542.9%1st Place
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8.16Northwestern University-0.741.9%1st Place
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7.61Marquette University-0.552.8%1st Place
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9.43University of Minnesota-1.571.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarkan Bolat | 25.4% | 20.5% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 17.5% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Pytell | 10.2% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Higgins | 17.3% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Odey Hariri | 12.8% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Annabel Bridges | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Kate Crannell | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 11.5% |
| Anna Kovacs | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 18.8% | 17.4% | 11.2% |
| Dexter Gormley | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 17.8% | 21.1% | 16.2% |
| Etain McKinney | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 18.7% | 10.9% |
| John Cayen | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 17.1% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.