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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.31+2.46vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.99+2.17vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas0.99+1.03vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.17+2.08vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois0.70-0.33vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-1.39+3.44vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota0.04-1.40vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-0.15-1.20vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-0.56-1.32vs Predicted
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10Marquette University0.32-4.29vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-1.68-1.23vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-2.12-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46University of Wisconsin1.3122.4%1st Place
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4.17University of Notre Dame0.9915.3%1st Place
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4.03University of Saint Thomas0.9916.0%1st Place
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6.08University of Wisconsin0.175.8%1st Place
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4.67University of Illinois0.7013.1%1st Place
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9.44Purdue University-1.391.9%1st Place
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5.6University of Minnesota0.047.8%1st Place
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6.8University of Michigan-0.155.1%1st Place
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7.68Michigan State University-0.563.1%1st Place
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5.71Marquette University0.327.4%1st Place
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9.77Northwestern University-1.681.3%1st Place
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10.6Northwestern University-2.120.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Giuliani | 22.4% | 18.1% | 17.6% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 15.3% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Bartel | 16.0% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Phineas Tait | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Michael Rivkin | 13.1% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| River Martin | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 21.1% | 26.2% | 17.9% |
| Clara Brown | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Gordon Fream | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 6.1% | 1.7% |
| Eva Rossell | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 10.8% | 3.4% |
| Brittany Shabino | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Devin Shah | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 16.4% | 25.4% | 27.4% |
| Rachel Spahn | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 10.9% | 22.4% | 48.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.