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📊 Prediction Accuracy
91.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.99+2.60vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.99+1.73vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.31+0.17vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois0.70+0.03vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.15+1.15vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.41+0.64vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.17-1.57vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-0.56-1.11vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-1.39-0.18vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-1.68-0.56vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-2.00-1.05vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-2.12-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6University of Saint Thomas0.9918.1%1st Place
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3.73University of Notre Dame0.9916.2%1st Place
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3.17University of Wisconsin1.3123.0%1st Place
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4.03University of Illinois0.7016.8%1st Place
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6.15University of Michigan-0.155.3%1st Place
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6.64University of Minnesota-0.414.3%1st Place
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5.43University of Wisconsin0.177.7%1st Place
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6.89Michigan State University-0.564.4%1st Place
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8.82Purdue University-1.391.6%1st Place
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9.44Northwestern University-1.680.9%1st Place
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9.95Marquette University-2.001.1%1st Place
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10.15Northwestern University-2.120.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bartel | 18.1% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 16.2% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicole Giuliani | 23.0% | 20.0% | 18.4% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Rivkin | 16.8% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Fream | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Ella Finnegan | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Phineas Tait | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Eva Rossell | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| River Martin | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 18.6% | 17.9% | 11.8% |
| Devin Shah | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 13.2% | 20.4% | 22.0% | 19.5% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 16.7% | 25.1% | 28.9% |
| Rachel Spahn | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 21.6% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.