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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.99+2.57vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.99+1.69vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois0.70+1.18vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.31-0.82vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.17+0.38vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-0.15+0.22vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-0.41-0.24vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-1.39+0.81vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-2.00+0.84vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-0.56-3.03vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-1.68-1.67vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-2.12-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57University of Saint Thomas0.9917.9%1st Place
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3.69University of Notre Dame0.9917.9%1st Place
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4.18University of Illinois0.7014.0%1st Place
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3.18University of Wisconsin1.3123.5%1st Place
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5.38University of Wisconsin0.177.5%1st Place
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6.22University of Michigan-0.155.6%1st Place
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6.76University of Minnesota-0.414.7%1st Place
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8.81Purdue University-1.391.7%1st Place
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9.84Marquette University-2.001.1%1st Place
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6.97Michigan State University-0.563.5%1st Place
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9.33Northwestern University-1.681.5%1st Place
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10.09Northwestern University-2.121.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bartel | 17.9% | 18.7% | 18.4% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 17.9% | 17.2% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Rivkin | 14.0% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Nicole Giuliani | 23.5% | 20.3% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phineas Tait | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Gordon Fream | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Ella Finnegan | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| River Martin | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 16.7% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 11.1% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 24.6% | 29.1% |
| Eva Rossell | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Devin Shah | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 20.8% | 19.8% |
| Rachel Spahn | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 22.3% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.