Race 6B

morton-schapiro

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Brittany Shabino 8.8% 11.2% 12.5% 13.6% 13.6% 13.6% 10.4% 9.6% 5.3% 1.1% 0.3%
Nicole Giuliani 27.8% 21.8% 17.0% 14.0% 8.5% 6.1% 3.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph Gallagher 18.8% 20.3% 17.4% 14.3% 11.2% 8.8% 5.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Michael Rivkin 15.5% 14.8% 15.2% 14.2% 14.2% 10.4% 8.1% 4.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Eva Rossell 3.9% 4.7% 5.9% 8.1% 8.8% 10.8% 13.5% 16.9% 14.8% 9.6% 3.0%
River Martin 2.1% 2.1% 2.5% 3.1% 4.2% 5.2% 8.1% 11.0% 19.6% 25.2% 16.8%
Gordon Fream 6.3% 7.5% 8.2% 9.0% 11.3% 13.5% 12.9% 14.4% 10.1% 5.5% 1.2%
Phineas Tait 9.3% 9.4% 10.4% 12.0% 13.5% 12.9% 13.6% 9.8% 6.3% 2.4% 0.5%
Ella Finnegan 5.0% 5.6% 7.2% 7.6% 9.8% 12.2% 13.4% 14.8% 14.0% 7.8% 2.6%
Devin Shah 1.8% 1.7% 1.9% 2.6% 2.8% 4.2% 7.1% 9.3% 14.2% 26.1% 28.2%
Rachel Spahn 0.7% 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 1.9% 2.3% 4.1% 6.0% 12.2% 21.6% 47.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.