Race 7B

morton-schapiro

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nicole Giuliani 29.0% 23.3% 19.8% 13.2% 7.9% 4.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Rivkin 17.6% 18.6% 17.4% 16.4% 12.3% 8.2% 6.2% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Phineas Tait 9.2% 10.9% 11.6% 14.0% 15.6% 16.1% 11.3% 6.6% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Ella Finnegan 5.9% 6.0% 7.8% 10.0% 11.3% 12.2% 16.1% 14.1% 10.2% 5.3% 1.1%
River Martin 1.9% 2.9% 3.4% 4.3% 5.3% 8.8% 10.4% 15.8% 18.5% 18.1% 10.4%
Gordon Fream 7.3% 7.1% 9.4% 10.7% 13.8% 15.7% 13.7% 12.4% 6.7% 2.2% 1.0%
Joseph Gallagher 20.5% 22.3% 18.6% 16.1% 11.2% 6.3% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Eva Rossell 5.8% 5.1% 6.2% 8.4% 11.2% 13.5% 16.6% 15.3% 10.0% 5.8% 1.9%
Luqman Waheeduddin 0.8% 1.1% 1.5% 2.2% 3.4% 4.2% 6.9% 9.9% 16.4% 23.5% 29.9%
Devin Shah 1.2% 1.8% 2.5% 2.8% 5.3% 6.7% 8.8% 12.7% 18.2% 21.9% 18.2%
Rachel Spahn 0.7% 0.7% 1.8% 2.0% 2.6% 4.0% 4.9% 9.4% 14.9% 21.9% 37.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.