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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.81+5.12vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30+5.27vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.57+3.71vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+1.38vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.09+2.46vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18+0.91vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.25-0.09vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.94+0.40vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.71-0.35vs Predicted
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10Fordham University0.54+0.21vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston0.96-2.98vs Predicted
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12University of Miami0.48-2.21vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40-0.33vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.48-4.06vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.37-4.62vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.13-4.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12Tufts University1.8110.2%1st Place
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7.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.307.0%1st Place
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6.71University of Michigan1.578.4%1st Place
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5.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7714.6%1st Place
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7.46University of South Florida1.097.3%1st Place
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6.91Northeastern University1.187.8%1st Place
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6.91Roger Williams University1.258.5%1st Place
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8.4University of Wisconsin0.945.8%1st Place
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8.65University of Rhode Island0.716.4%1st Place
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10.21Fordham University0.543.7%1st Place
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8.02College of Charleston0.966.7%1st Place
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9.79University of Miami0.484.2%1st Place
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12.67University of California at Santa Barbara-0.400.9%1st Place
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9.94University of Vermont0.483.8%1st Place
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10.38Boston University0.372.5%1st Place
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11.19SUNY Maritime College0.132.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Toland | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ella Withington | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Jenna Probst | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 14.6% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Megan Gimple | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Ashley Delisser | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% |
| Katelon Egan | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 34.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.9% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 10.2% |
| Clara Guarascio | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.