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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.57+5.70vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.09+5.55vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+2.41vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.25+2.86vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.81+1.12vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.71+2.77vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston0.96+0.81vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College0.13+3.07vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.37+1.48vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.94-1.89vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.18-4.05vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30-4.67vs Predicted
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13Fordham University0.54-2.65vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.48-4.15vs Predicted
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15University of Miami0.48-5.21vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40-3.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.7University of Michigan1.579.3%1st Place
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7.55University of South Florida1.096.6%1st Place
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5.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7712.6%1st Place
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6.86Roger Williams University1.259.3%1st Place
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6.12Tufts University1.8110.2%1st Place
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8.77University of Rhode Island0.714.8%1st Place
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7.81College of Charleston0.966.0%1st Place
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11.07SUNY Maritime College0.132.5%1st Place
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10.48Boston University0.373.2%1st Place
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8.11University of Wisconsin0.946.3%1st Place
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6.95Northeastern University1.189.0%1st Place
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7.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.307.8%1st Place
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10.35Fordham University0.543.2%1st Place
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9.85University of Vermont0.483.5%1st Place
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9.79University of Miami0.484.3%1st Place
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12.84University of California at Santa Barbara-0.401.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenna Probst | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 12.6% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Talia Toland | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Megan Gimple | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Clara Guarascio | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 15.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 9.7% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Ella Withington | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 9.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% |
| Ashley Delisser | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.1% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 37.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.