Race 1A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Colby Vickerson 16.9% 14.4% 13.3% 14.3% 11.5% 10.9% 9.2% 7.0% 2.5%
Nicholas Dragone 12.7% 16.3% 15.0% 13.5% 13.7% 10.3% 8.6% 7.2% 2.7%
Michael Rottier 18.8% 15.3% 15.8% 13.4% 12.7% 9.4% 7.8% 5.7% 1.1%
Zach Shapiro 9.6% 9.6% 10.2% 10.6% 12.0% 13.0% 12.3% 14.1% 8.6%
Edward Moan 9.1% 12.2% 11.5% 12.6% 10.8% 9.0% 13.5% 12.0% 9.3%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 10.5% 11.8% 11.1% 11.2% 11.7% 14.3% 13.5% 9.8% 6.1%
William Dykes 9.7% 9.2% 11.0% 11.0% 13.1% 13.7% 12.1% 13.0% 7.2%
Emily Casella 9.1% 8.0% 8.9% 10.1% 10.2% 11.7% 13.2% 15.9% 12.9%
Brian Reilly 3.6% 3.2% 3.2% 3.3% 4.3% 7.7% 9.8% 15.3% 49.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.