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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.09+6.42vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.48+7.89vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.94+5.21vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.81+2.20vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.25+1.85vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18+1.04vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30+0.44vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.48+1.72vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-3.63vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston0.96-2.21vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.71-2.25vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.57-5.37vs Predicted
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13Fordham University0.54-2.90vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.13-2.62vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40-2.18vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.37-5.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42University of South Florida1.096.9%1st Place
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9.89University of Vermont0.484.0%1st Place
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8.21University of Wisconsin0.946.2%1st Place
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6.2Tufts University1.8110.0%1st Place
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6.85Roger Williams University1.258.8%1st Place
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7.04Northeastern University1.187.6%1st Place
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7.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.307.0%1st Place
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9.72University of Miami0.483.9%1st Place
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5.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7712.8%1st Place
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7.79College of Charleston0.966.5%1st Place
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8.75University of Rhode Island0.715.2%1st Place
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6.63University of Michigan1.5710.5%1st Place
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10.1Fordham University0.543.7%1st Place
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11.38SUNY Maritime College0.132.5%1st Place
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12.82University of California at Santa Barbara-0.401.3%1st Place
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10.37Boston University0.373.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Talia Toland | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Ella Withington | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Ashley Delisser | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 12.8% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Megan Gimple | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Jenna Probst | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 7.7% |
| Clara Guarascio | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 17.4% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 36.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.