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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bentley University1.82+3.08vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.25+3.48vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University1.45+1.91vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College1.85-0.11vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut1.96-1.33vs Predicted
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6Bates College1.32-0.93vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire1.35-2.96vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14-3.51vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University0.12-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08Bentley University1.820.2%1st Place
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5.48Northeastern University1.250.1%1st Place
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4.91Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
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3.89Middlebury College1.850.2%1st Place
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3.67University of Connecticut1.960.2%1st Place
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5.07Bates College1.320.1%1st Place
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5.04University of New Hampshire1.350.1%1st Place
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5.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.1%1st Place
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7.38Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby Vickerson | 17.1% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
| Zach Shapiro | 6.4% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 10.8% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 10.4% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 5.3% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 16.1% | 17.5% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Michael Rottier | 20.8% | 20.3% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Edward Moan | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% |
| William Dykes | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 6.7% |
| Emily Casella | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 13.1% |
| Brian Reilly | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 16.3% | 49.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.