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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.57+5.65vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.71+6.81vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.09+4.52vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.25+2.82vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.81+1.21vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.48+3.55vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-1.60vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston0.96-0.11vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.37+1.31vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30-2.59vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.18-4.14vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40+0.98vs Predicted
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13Fordham University0.54-2.73vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.48-4.02vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.94-6.83vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.13-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65University of Michigan1.578.6%1st Place
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8.81University of Rhode Island0.715.1%1st Place
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7.52University of South Florida1.096.8%1st Place
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6.82Roger Williams University1.259.0%1st Place
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6.21Tufts University1.819.0%1st Place
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9.55University of Miami0.484.5%1st Place
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5.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7713.9%1st Place
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7.89College of Charleston0.965.6%1st Place
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10.31Boston University0.373.9%1st Place
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7.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.307.4%1st Place
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6.86Northeastern University1.188.2%1st Place
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12.98University of California at Santa Barbara-0.401.3%1st Place
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10.27Fordham University0.543.0%1st Place
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9.98University of Vermont0.484.2%1st Place
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8.17University of Wisconsin0.946.5%1st Place
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11.18SUNY Maritime College0.132.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenna Probst | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Megan Gimple | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Talia Toland | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ashley Delisser | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 13.9% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% |
| Ella Withington | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 15.5% | 38.1% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Clara Guarascio | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.