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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bentley University1.82+3.09vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.25+3.44vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut1.96+0.79vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College1.85-0.09vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.35-0.10vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14-0.56vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University0.12+0.45vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University1.45-4.12vs Predicted
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10Bates College1.32-4.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09Bentley University1.820.2%1st Place
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5.44Northeastern University1.250.1%1st Place
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3.79University of Connecticut1.960.2%1st Place
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3.91Middlebury College1.850.2%1st Place
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4.9University of New Hampshire1.350.1%1st Place
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5.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.1%1st Place
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7.45Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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4.88Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
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5.1Bates College1.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby Vickerson | 16.2% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Zach Shapiro | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 9.0% |
| Michael Rottier | 18.6% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 16.6% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| William Dykes | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 8.1% |
| Emily Casella | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 11.2% |
| Brian Reilly | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 16.0% | 50.9% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 7.1% |
| Edward Moan | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.