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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston0.96+6.85vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30+5.26vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.09+4.35vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+3.02vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.81+1.05vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.48+3.95vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.25-0.24vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College0.13+2.97vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.57-2.19vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.48-0.03vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-5.68vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.71-3.20vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.94-4.74vs Predicted
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14Fordham University0.54-3.70vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.37-4.59vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.85College of Charleston0.966.5%1st Place
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7.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.308.2%1st Place
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7.35University of South Florida1.098.8%1st Place
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7.02Northeastern University1.189.0%1st Place
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6.05Tufts University1.8111.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Vermont0.483.5%1st Place
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6.76Roger Williams University1.258.9%1st Place
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10.97SUNY Maritime College0.132.8%1st Place
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6.81University of Michigan1.579.4%1st Place
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9.97University of Miami0.482.4%1st Place
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5.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7712.3%1st Place
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8.8University of Rhode Island0.714.6%1st Place
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8.26University of Wisconsin0.945.5%1st Place
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10.3Fordham University0.542.3%1st Place
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10.41Boston University0.373.5%1st Place
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12.92University of California at Santa Barbara-0.401.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiera Oreardon | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Ella Withington | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Talia Toland | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.6% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Clara Guarascio | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 14.1% |
| Jenna Probst | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Ashley Delisser | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 7.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 12.3% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Megan Gimple | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 9.9% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 14.0% | 37.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.