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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.09+6.49vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+3.33vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.37+7.32vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+3.05vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.54+5.38vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.25+0.61vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.57-0.21vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.71+0.86vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.48+0.79vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.94-1.76vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston0.96-3.14vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.81-5.83vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.13-1.84vs Predicted
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14University of Miami0.48-4.24vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30-7.59vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.49University of South Florida1.097.5%1st Place
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5.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7713.6%1st Place
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10.32Boston University0.373.2%1st Place
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7.05Northeastern University1.187.0%1st Place
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10.38Fordham University0.543.1%1st Place
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6.61Roger Williams University1.2510.1%1st Place
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6.79University of Michigan1.577.9%1st Place
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8.86University of Rhode Island0.715.6%1st Place
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9.79University of Vermont0.483.9%1st Place
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8.24University of Wisconsin0.945.8%1st Place
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7.86College of Charleston0.967.5%1st Place
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6.17Tufts University1.819.7%1st Place
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11.16SUNY Maritime College0.131.9%1st Place
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9.76University of Miami0.484.3%1st Place
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7.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.307.1%1st Place
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12.79University of California at Santa Barbara-0.401.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 13.6% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 9.6% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Jenna Probst | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Megan Gimple | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.0% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Talia Toland | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 16.0% |
| Ashley Delisser | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 7.0% |
| Ella Withington | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.