Race 4A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Zach Shapiro 10.0% 7.9% 10.9% 8.8% 10.9% 14.4% 14.2% 12.7% 10.2%
Michael Rottier 13.7% 17.5% 16.6% 13.8% 13.6% 9.3% 8.4% 5.0% 2.1%
Nicholas Dragone 16.9% 14.3% 14.5% 13.9% 13.1% 10.9% 8.8% 5.6% 2.0%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 10.5% 12.1% 12.6% 12.4% 12.7% 11.9% 10.6% 11.1% 6.1%
Colby Vickerson 17.6% 18.0% 12.4% 13.6% 9.4% 11.3% 8.2% 6.5% 3.0%
Emily Casella 8.0% 8.4% 8.7% 11.3% 10.7% 12.5% 15.0% 14.4% 11.0%
Brian Reilly 3.3% 2.6% 2.9% 3.4% 5.6% 6.2% 8.6% 16.6% 50.8%
William Dykes 10.5% 8.8% 12.2% 11.6% 11.5% 10.9% 13.7% 12.9% 7.9%
Edward Moan 9.5% 10.4% 9.2% 11.2% 12.5% 12.6% 12.5% 15.2% 6.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.