Race 5A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Edward Moan 10.4% 8.5% 10.4% 9.4% 12.8% 12.9% 14.3% 12.9% 8.4%
Zach Shapiro 6.6% 8.5% 10.3% 10.6% 11.1% 14.3% 13.0% 14.6% 11.0%
Nicholas Dragone 16.0% 13.9% 15.2% 14.2% 13.2% 11.3% 8.5% 5.9% 1.8%
Michael Rottier 18.2% 18.5% 16.6% 13.6% 10.7% 9.7% 6.7% 4.4% 1.6%
Colby Vickerson 17.5% 17.7% 12.8% 13.1% 11.2% 9.0% 8.9% 6.3% 3.5%
Emily Casella 7.4% 8.2% 8.8% 11.4% 11.3% 12.5% 14.7% 14.8% 10.9%
William Dykes 9.3% 10.5% 10.4% 12.7% 11.7% 12.7% 12.6% 13.7% 6.4%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 11.2% 11.0% 12.4% 11.2% 13.0% 11.5% 11.8% 11.3% 6.6%
Brian Reilly 3.4% 3.2% 3.1% 3.8% 5.0% 6.1% 9.5% 16.1% 49.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.