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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.09+6.38vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.25+4.74vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+2.35vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30+3.29vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.81+1.02vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.71+2.90vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College0.13+4.17vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.37+2.51vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.48+0.66vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.18-3.08vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.57-4.17vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.48-1.89vs Predicted
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13Fordham University0.54-2.81vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston0.96-6.13vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.94-6.81vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.38University of South Florida1.097.9%1st Place
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6.74Roger Williams University1.257.8%1st Place
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5.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7713.2%1st Place
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7.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.308.5%1st Place
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6.02Tufts University1.8110.9%1st Place
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8.9University of Rhode Island0.714.8%1st Place
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11.17SUNY Maritime College0.132.8%1st Place
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10.51Boston University0.373.0%1st Place
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9.66University of Miami0.483.5%1st Place
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6.92Northeastern University1.188.6%1st Place
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6.83University of Michigan1.578.5%1st Place
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10.11University of Vermont0.483.6%1st Place
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10.19Fordham University0.543.4%1st Place
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7.87College of Charleston0.966.3%1st Place
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8.19University of Wisconsin0.945.9%1st Place
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12.86University of California at Santa Barbara-0.401.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 13.2% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ella Withington | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Talia Toland | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Megan Gimple | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 2.7% |
| Clara Guarascio | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 16.6% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 10.8% |
| Ashley Delisser | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Jenna Probst | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.