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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Connecticut1.96+2.82vs Predicted
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2Wesleyan University1.45+3.01vs Predicted
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3Bates College1.32+2.16vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.25+1.14vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.35-0.09vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14-0.52vs Predicted
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7Bentley University1.82-2.90vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.85-3.98vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University0.12-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82University of Connecticut1.960.2%1st Place
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5.01Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
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5.16Bates College1.320.1%1st Place
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5.14Northeastern University1.250.1%1st Place
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4.91University of New Hampshire1.350.1%1st Place
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5.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.1%1st Place
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4.1Bentley University1.820.2%1st Place
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4.02Middlebury College1.850.2%1st Place
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7.36Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Rottier | 18.9% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 6.4% |
| Edward Moan | 9.7% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 8.4% |
| Zach Shapiro | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 8.8% |
| William Dykes | 10.9% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 8.3% |
| Emily Casella | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 11.6% |
| Colby Vickerson | 15.3% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 17.0% | 16.6% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Brian Reilly | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 49.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.