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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.09+6.53vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College0.13+9.09vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.57+3.76vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.48+5.81vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.37+5.37vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.81+0.09vs Predicted
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7Fordham University0.54+3.32vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston0.96-0.15vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.25-2.11vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-4.69vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30-3.79vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40+0.93vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.18-6.15vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.48-4.02vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.94-6.68vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.71-7.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53University of South Florida1.096.2%1st Place
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11.09SUNY Maritime College0.132.8%1st Place
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6.76University of Michigan1.578.9%1st Place
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9.81University of Miami0.483.8%1st Place
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10.37Boston University0.373.0%1st Place
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6.09Tufts University1.819.4%1st Place
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10.32Fordham University0.542.8%1st Place
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7.85College of Charleston0.966.6%1st Place
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6.89Roger Williams University1.259.2%1st Place
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5.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7715.2%1st Place
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7.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.307.1%1st Place
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12.93University of California at Santa Barbara-0.401.4%1st Place
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6.85Northeastern University1.188.7%1st Place
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9.98University of Vermont0.483.4%1st Place
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8.32University of Wisconsin0.946.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Rhode Island0.715.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Clara Guarascio | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 16.1% |
| Jenna Probst | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Ashley Delisser | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.6% |
| Talia Toland | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 9.2% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 15.2% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ella Withington | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 37.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 7.1% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Megan Gimple | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.