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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College1.85+3.03vs Predicted
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2Bentley University1.82+2.27vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.25+2.30vs Predicted
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4Bates College1.32+1.00vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.35-0.04vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14-0.55vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut1.96-3.23vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University1.45-4.14vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University0.12-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03Middlebury College1.850.2%1st Place
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4.27Bentley University1.820.1%1st Place
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5.3Northeastern University1.250.1%1st Place
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5.0Bates College1.320.1%1st Place
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4.96University of New Hampshire1.350.1%1st Place
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5.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.1%1st Place
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3.77University of Connecticut1.960.2%1st Place
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4.86Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
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7.37Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Dragone | 17.2% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 2.7% |
| Colby Vickerson | 12.6% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
| Zach Shapiro | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 8.9% |
| Edward Moan | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 7.6% |
| William Dykes | 10.1% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 8.5% |
| Emily Casella | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 10.7% |
| Michael Rottier | 17.8% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 11.9% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 7.5% |
| Brian Reilly | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 15.9% | 49.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.