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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.18+5.93vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.81+4.10vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College0.13+8.18vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.25+2.81vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+0.30vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.09+1.39vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.57-0.20vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.54+2.42vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.48+0.75vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.94-1.80vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30-3.69vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40+0.67vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.37-2.72vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.71-5.16vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.48-5.07vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston0.96-7.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.93Northeastern University1.188.6%1st Place
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6.1Tufts University1.8111.8%1st Place
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11.18SUNY Maritime College0.132.6%1st Place
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6.81Roger Williams University1.258.7%1st Place
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5.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7712.4%1st Place
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7.39University of South Florida1.098.8%1st Place
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6.8University of Michigan1.578.2%1st Place
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10.42Fordham University0.542.7%1st Place
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9.75University of Miami0.483.9%1st Place
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8.2University of Wisconsin0.946.6%1st Place
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7.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.307.1%1st Place
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12.67University of California at Santa Barbara-0.401.5%1st Place
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10.28Boston University0.373.0%1st Place
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8.84University of Rhode Island0.714.8%1st Place
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9.93University of Vermont0.483.5%1st Place
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8.06College of Charleston0.965.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 8.6% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Talia Toland | 11.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Clara Guarascio | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 17.2% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 12.4% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Jenna Probst | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.4% |
| Ashley Delisser | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.5% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Ella Withington | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 15.7% | 34.3% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% |
| Megan Gimple | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.3% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.