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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Wesleyan University1.45+3.83vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut1.96+1.98vs Predicted
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3Bentley University1.82+1.10vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College1.85-0.09vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.35-0.07vs Predicted
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6Bates College1.32-0.92vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.25-1.71vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14-2.50vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University0.12-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.83Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
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3.98University of Connecticut1.960.1%1st Place
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4.1Bentley University1.820.2%1st Place
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3.91Middlebury College1.850.2%1st Place
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4.93University of New Hampshire1.350.1%1st Place
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5.08Bates College1.320.1%1st Place
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5.29Northeastern University1.250.1%1st Place
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5.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.1%1st Place
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7.38Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 5.9% |
| Michael Rottier | 13.3% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Colby Vickerson | 16.5% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 17.4% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| William Dykes | 10.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 8.7% |
| Edward Moan | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 7.4% |
| Zach Shapiro | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 8.3% |
| Emily Casella | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 13.1% |
| Brian Reilly | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 15.7% | 49.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.