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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+4.41vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.09+5.32vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.57+3.76vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.81+2.20vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.25+1.77vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30+1.15vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College0.13+4.25vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.18-1.01vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.94-0.42vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston0.96-2.03vs Predicted
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11Fordham University0.54-0.90vs Predicted
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12University of Miami0.48-2.31vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.37-2.64vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40-1.14vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.71-6.23vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.48-6.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7713.1%1st Place
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7.32University of South Florida1.097.4%1st Place
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6.76University of Michigan1.578.5%1st Place
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6.2Tufts University1.8110.9%1st Place
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6.77Roger Williams University1.258.9%1st Place
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7.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.308.1%1st Place
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11.25SUNY Maritime College0.132.4%1st Place
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6.99Northeastern University1.188.4%1st Place
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8.58University of Wisconsin0.945.6%1st Place
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7.97College of Charleston0.966.4%1st Place
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10.1Fordham University0.543.4%1st Place
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9.69University of Miami0.484.1%1st Place
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10.36Boston University0.373.0%1st Place
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12.86University of California at Santa Barbara-0.401.8%1st Place
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8.77University of Rhode Island0.714.8%1st Place
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9.82University of Vermont0.483.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 13.1% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Jenna Probst | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Talia Toland | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Ella Withington | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Clara Guarascio | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 15.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% |
| Ashley Delisser | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 6.9% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 38.2% |
| Megan Gimple | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.