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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 12.0% 11.2% 9.7% 12.1% 13.2% 11.3% 12.8% 11.8% 5.9%
Michael Rottier 13.3% 17.7% 16.4% 13.8% 13.9% 9.3% 7.5% 5.3% 2.8%
Colby Vickerson 16.5% 13.9% 13.6% 13.8% 12.3% 12.1% 8.6% 7.3% 1.9%
Nicholas Dragone 17.4% 15.8% 15.4% 13.9% 11.2% 10.7% 7.3% 5.9% 2.4%
William Dykes 10.0% 12.0% 12.0% 11.1% 12.3% 10.3% 12.1% 11.5% 8.7%
Edward Moan 9.2% 10.3% 10.5% 11.7% 10.9% 12.6% 15.7% 11.7% 7.4%
Zach Shapiro 9.1% 8.0% 9.7% 10.3% 12.2% 14.0% 13.2% 15.2% 8.3%
Emily Casella 9.0% 8.0% 8.9% 10.7% 9.2% 12.1% 13.4% 15.6% 13.1%
Brian Reilly 3.5% 3.1% 3.8% 2.6% 4.8% 7.6% 9.4% 15.7% 49.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.