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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+4.30vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.09+5.59vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.18+4.02vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30+3.11vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.25+1.61vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.81+0.18vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston0.96+0.84vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.54+2.43vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College0.13+2.16vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.94-1.57vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.57-4.26vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.37-1.55vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.48-3.11vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.71-5.19vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40-2.24vs Predicted
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16University of Miami0.48-6.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7713.4%1st Place
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7.59University of South Florida1.096.8%1st Place
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7.02Northeastern University1.187.9%1st Place
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7.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.308.9%1st Place
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6.61Roger Williams University1.259.4%1st Place
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6.18Tufts University1.8110.4%1st Place
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7.84College of Charleston0.965.4%1st Place
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10.43Fordham University0.543.4%1st Place
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11.16SUNY Maritime College0.132.3%1st Place
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8.43University of Wisconsin0.945.7%1st Place
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6.74University of Michigan1.579.2%1st Place
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10.45Boston University0.372.6%1st Place
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9.89University of Vermont0.483.2%1st Place
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8.81University of Rhode Island0.715.5%1st Place
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12.76University of California at Santa Barbara-0.402.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Miami0.484.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 13.4% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Ella Withington | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Talia Toland | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 8.8% |
| Clara Guarascio | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 17.4% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Jenna Probst | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.3% |
| Megan Gimple | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Katelon Egan | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 36.2% |
| Ashley Delisser | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.