Race 9A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Colby Vickerson 17.0% 13.5% 13.8% 13.7% 12.9% 11.4% 8.9% 6.7% 2.1%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 8.3% 9.3% 12.6% 12.4% 12.1% 14.3% 11.5% 12.5% 7.0%
Nicholas Dragone 16.4% 14.5% 14.4% 13.1% 13.4% 11.2% 8.7% 6.9% 1.4%
Michael Rottier 18.9% 18.4% 15.6% 13.6% 10.6% 10.2% 6.5% 4.7% 1.5%
Zach Shapiro 9.2% 11.8% 10.7% 10.9% 11.3% 9.6% 12.3% 13.7% 10.5%
Emily Casella 8.0% 7.7% 8.9% 11.3% 10.6% 11.4% 15.9% 15.0% 11.2%
William Dykes 9.1% 10.5% 11.3% 10.1% 12.9% 13.6% 12.2% 13.8% 6.5%
Edward Moan 9.9% 10.3% 10.1% 11.4% 10.7% 12.5% 14.0% 11.3% 9.8%
Brian Reilly 3.2% 4.0% 2.6% 3.5% 5.5% 5.8% 10.0% 15.4% 50.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.