Race 10A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 12.2% 9.9% 11.2% 11.5% 12.0% 12.8% 13.1% 11.3% 6.0%
Colby Vickerson 12.1% 15.5% 15.4% 12.1% 14.1% 10.7% 9.4% 7.4% 3.3%
Nicholas Dragone 17.1% 14.1% 15.1% 12.2% 13.0% 11.0% 9.9% 5.1% 2.5%
Michael Rottier 18.8% 17.7% 15.8% 14.7% 10.3% 9.4% 6.9% 5.0% 1.4%
Emily Casella 8.1% 9.8% 10.4% 11.5% 9.0% 11.6% 13.6% 14.7% 11.3%
Zach Shapiro 9.0% 9.6% 8.7% 12.2% 11.8% 12.9% 13.8% 13.8% 8.2%
Brian Reilly 3.4% 2.5% 2.8% 4.0% 5.1% 7.1% 8.8% 15.2% 51.1%
William Dykes 10.6% 9.1% 11.2% 11.7% 11.9% 11.7% 12.7% 12.1% 9.0%
Edward Moan 8.7% 11.8% 9.4% 10.1% 12.8% 12.8% 11.8% 15.4% 7.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.