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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.81+5.14vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.57+4.79vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.09+4.33vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.48+5.91vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+0.41vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston0.96+1.86vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.18-0.01vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.71+0.88vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.25-2.24vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30-2.62vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.37-0.61vs Predicted
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12Fordham University0.54-1.73vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40-0.07vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.94-5.73vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.13-3.89vs Predicted
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16University of Miami0.48-6.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14Tufts University1.8110.8%1st Place
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6.79University of Michigan1.578.6%1st Place
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7.33University of South Florida1.097.1%1st Place
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9.91University of Vermont0.483.8%1st Place
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5.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7713.2%1st Place
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7.86College of Charleston0.967.6%1st Place
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6.99Northeastern University1.188.3%1st Place
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8.88University of Rhode Island0.714.7%1st Place
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6.76Roger Williams University1.258.0%1st Place
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7.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.307.8%1st Place
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10.39Boston University0.373.6%1st Place
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10.27Fordham University0.543.1%1st Place
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12.93University of California at Santa Barbara-0.401.3%1st Place
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8.27University of Wisconsin0.945.2%1st Place
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11.11SUNY Maritime College0.132.6%1st Place
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9.58University of Miami0.484.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Toland | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jenna Probst | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 7.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 13.2% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Megan Gimple | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Ella Withington | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.8% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 15.0% | 36.5% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Clara Guarascio | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 14.5% |
| Ashley Delisser | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.