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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College1.80+2.16vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut1.93+1.08vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College1.50+0.72vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.39-1.58vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.58+0.16vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.78-1.21vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University-1.20+0.25vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.43-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Bates College1.800.2%1st Place
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3.08University of Connecticut1.930.2%1st Place
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3.72Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
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2.42Northeastern University2.390.3%1st Place
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5.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.580.0%1st Place
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4.79University of New Hampshire0.780.1%1st Place
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7.25Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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6.43Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Cappetta | 18.8% | 22.2% | 18.3% | 18.8% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Fuller | 19.9% | 21.6% | 21.0% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 13.7% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 20.0% | 18.2% | 12.5% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
| John Wehner | 33.9% | 24.2% | 19.8% | 13.6% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Forgione | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 18.8% | 25.9% | 19.6% | 5.3% |
| Emmet Todd | 6.4% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 20.1% | 23.1% | 13.9% | 3.9% |
| Earl Lin | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 18.2% | 65.0% |
| David Tampellini | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 15.8% | 39.3% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.