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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.81+5.02vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30+5.32vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+2.27vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College0.13+7.09vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.25+1.90vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.57+1.00vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.71+1.91vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston0.96-0.22vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.09-1.44vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.48-0.08vs Predicted
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11Fordham University0.54-0.95vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.18-4.99vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.94-4.69vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40-1.28vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.48-5.14vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.37-5.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02Tufts University1.8111.1%1st Place
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7.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.307.9%1st Place
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5.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7713.1%1st Place
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11.09SUNY Maritime College0.132.9%1st Place
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6.9Roger Williams University1.257.8%1st Place
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7.0University of Michigan1.578.2%1st Place
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8.91University of Rhode Island0.714.9%1st Place
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7.78College of Charleston0.966.6%1st Place
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7.56University of South Florida1.097.6%1st Place
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9.92University of Miami0.483.5%1st Place
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10.05Fordham University0.543.5%1st Place
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7.01Northeastern University1.187.8%1st Place
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8.31University of Wisconsin0.945.8%1st Place
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12.72University of California at Santa Barbara-0.401.9%1st Place
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9.86University of Vermont0.484.0%1st Place
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10.28Boston University0.373.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Toland | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ella Withington | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 13.1% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 14.8% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Jenna Probst | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Megan Gimple | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Ashley Delisser | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 7.3% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 10.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 36.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.