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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.13+1.73vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.14+0.77vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.62+0.56vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria1.08-0.52vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria0.40-2.45vs Predicted
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9University of Puget Sound0.03-2.96vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University1.49-6.19vs Predicted
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11University of Puget Sound-0.81-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73University of Washington2.130.3%1st Place
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2.77University of Washington2.140.3%1st Place
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3.56Western Washington University1.620.2%1st Place
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4.48University of Victoria1.080.1%1st Place
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5.55University of Victoria0.400.0%1st Place
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6.04University of Puget Sound0.030.0%1st Place
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3.81Western Washington University1.490.1%1st Place
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7.05University of Puget Sound-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Sainsbury | 28.0% | 23.7% | 18.9% | 15.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Antonio Johnson | 25.3% | 25.2% | 19.7% | 14.4% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Vincent | 15.1% | 16.7% | 19.1% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 10.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Martin Van Den Berghe | 8.4% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 19.7% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 4.0% |
| Meigan Blunt | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 15.4% | 21.2% | 25.9% | 12.3% |
| Michael Trombatore | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 17.8% | 28.6% | 23.0% |
| Andrew Nelson | 14.2% | 13.9% | 16.3% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Hannah Schneider-Lynch | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 8.9% | 20.9% | 57.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.