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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.39+4.06vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.40+3.14vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+4.57vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.62+3.28vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.18+3.65vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.25-0.68vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.69+3.63vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.74-0.96vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.48-4.13vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-1.30vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.82-0.93vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.08-2.27vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.02-0.30vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.06-1.26vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.40-3.16vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.24-3.31vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.76-1.92vs Predicted
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18Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.12-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06Dartmouth College2.3913.0%1st Place
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5.14Roger Williams University2.4013.6%1st Place
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7.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.626.8%1st Place
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7.28Boston College1.627.1%1st Place
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8.65Bowdoin College1.184.3%1st Place
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5.32Yale University2.2511.8%1st Place
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10.63Northeastern University0.692.4%1st Place
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7.04Brown University1.748.4%1st Place
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4.87Harvard University2.4814.1%1st Place
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8.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.8%1st Place
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10.07University of Rhode Island0.823.0%1st Place
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9.73Tufts University1.083.1%1st Place
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12.7Salve Regina University0.021.9%1st Place
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12.74Connecticut College0.061.2%1st Place
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11.84Boston University0.401.8%1st Place
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12.69University of Vermont0.241.3%1st Place
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15.08Maine Maritime Academy-0.760.8%1st Place
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15.88Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.120.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Satterberg | 13.0% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 13.6% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Kulas | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| tanner krygsveld | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Danielson | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 11.8% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hudson | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Cam Spriggs | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 14.1% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Owen Grainger | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Oliver Keeves | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Robert Heath | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 6.7% |
| Rory Murray | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 7.3% |
| Peter Stewart | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 5.9% |
| Alistair Knoblauch | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 21.5% | 29.4% |
| Matthew Stecko | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 20.9% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.