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📊 Prediction Accuracy

52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Louis Padnos 28.5% 22.8% 21.7% 13.2% 7.9% 2.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Vincent Andrews 14.0% 14.0% 15.9% 14.7% 13.8% 11.6% 8.5% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jason Carminati 28.3% 24.6% 18.3% 14.1% 8.4% 3.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Lubliner 6.5% 7.6% 9.8% 11.7% 13.6% 15.1% 13.1% 9.4% 6.8% 3.2% 1.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arthur Bailey IV 7.4% 10.4% 11.2% 14.0% 14.7% 14.5% 10.2% 7.8% 6.0% 2.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William Buchanan, III 1.4% 2.1% 1.7% 3.8% 5.5% 6.7% 9.7% 10.3% 11.7% 11.8% 11.9% 7.5% 7.5% 5.2% 2.2% 1.0% 0.0%
David Coplon 6.6% 7.2% 7.4% 10.9% 12.5% 15.4% 11.8% 11.4% 8.2% 4.2% 2.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Rinaldi 0.6% 1.3% 1.7% 1.8% 3.7% 2.2% 5.6% 7.2% 7.2% 9.8% 9.2% 12.6% 14.4% 9.5% 9.9% 3.3% 0.0%
Stan Benarick 0.3% 1.2% 1.3% 1.7% 1.6% 3.2% 4.2% 3.9% 7.1% 8.7% 9.1% 12.4% 11.5% 14.0% 13.3% 6.5% 0.0%
Ira Carson 2.1% 3.6% 4.6% 4.4% 4.8% 8.2% 10.8% 14.5% 13.8% 11.6% 9.0% 5.7% 3.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
William Buchanan, III 1.4% 2.1% 1.7% 3.8% 5.5% 6.7% 9.7% 10.3% 11.7% 11.8% 11.9% 7.5% 7.5% 5.2% 2.2% 1.0% 0.0%
Tucker Willsie 2.1% 1.8% 2.6% 3.3% 5.3% 5.6% 7.0% 9.4% 10.3% 10.9% 14.0% 9.8% 8.8% 5.1% 3.1% 0.9% 0.0%
Leeds Pierce 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 2.0% 2.5% 3.6% 3.2% 6.8% 7.6% 9.4% 10.5% 10.8% 12.0% 13.0% 10.0% 6.3% 0.0%
Leah Feldman 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 1.7% 1.8% 2.2% 4.2% 5.5% 7.0% 7.6% 11.6% 11.8% 14.4% 18.1% 11.7% 0.0%
Dylan Richardson 0.3% 1.4% 1.0% 1.9% 2.5% 3.0% 5.1% 5.0% 6.3% 9.8% 10.8% 13.5% 12.3% 11.0% 10.6% 5.5% 0.0%
Peter McCauley 0.7% 0.7% 1.0% 1.1% 1.2% 2.2% 3.5% 3.3% 5.5% 7.9% 8.8% 9.8% 11.8% 15.8% 17.2% 9.5% 0.0%
Thomas Hutchison 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 1.3% 1.9% 2.9% 2.9% 3.3% 5.8% 9.3% 14.9% 55.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.