← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+4.36vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston0.96+6.06vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.81+3.25vs Predicted
-
4University of Michigan1.57+2.77vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University1.25+1.64vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.09+1.42vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30+0.16vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont0.48+2.02vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island0.71-0.10vs Predicted
-
10Boston University0.37+0.27vs Predicted
-
11University of Wisconsin0.94-2.81vs Predicted
-
12SUNY Maritime College0.13-0.76vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University1.18-5.96vs Predicted
-
14University of Miami0.48-4.39vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University0.54-4.88vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7712.8%1st Place
-
8.06College of Charleston0.966.1%1st Place
-
6.25Tufts University1.8110.1%1st Place
-
6.77University of Michigan1.579.7%1st Place
-
6.64Roger Williams University1.258.8%1st Place
-
7.42University of South Florida1.097.3%1st Place
-
7.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.307.0%1st Place
-
10.02University of Vermont0.483.1%1st Place
-
8.9University of Rhode Island0.715.5%1st Place
-
10.27Boston University0.373.8%1st Place
-
8.19University of Wisconsin0.946.5%1st Place
-
11.24SUNY Maritime College0.132.5%1st Place
-
7.04Northeastern University1.187.2%1st Place
-
9.61University of Miami0.484.3%1st Place
-
10.12Fordham University0.544.0%1st Place
-
12.95University of California at Santa Barbara-0.401.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 12.8% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Talia Toland | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jenna Probst | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Ella Withington | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.2% |
| Megan Gimple | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 9.6% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Clara Guarascio | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 16.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Ashley Delisser | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 8.9% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 16.2% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.