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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College1.80+2.14vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College1.50+1.73vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut1.93+0.02vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.39-1.58vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.78-0.15vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University-1.20+1.22vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.58-1.81vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.43-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14Bates College1.800.2%1st Place
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3.73Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
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3.02University of Connecticut1.930.2%1st Place
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2.42Northeastern University2.390.3%1st Place
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4.85University of New Hampshire0.780.1%1st Place
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7.22Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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5.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.580.0%1st Place
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6.43Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Cappetta | 18.9% | 21.8% | 19.3% | 17.6% | 13.3% | 6.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 13.2% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 20.7% | 18.4% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Fuller | 21.6% | 20.7% | 21.5% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| John Wehner | 33.3% | 25.3% | 18.3% | 15.1% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emmet Todd | 6.0% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 19.9% | 25.3% | 13.6% | 3.8% |
| Earl Lin | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 7.8% | 19.8% | 62.5% |
| Timothy Forgione | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 18.7% | 25.1% | 19.3% | 7.2% |
| David Tampellini | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 17.2% | 37.8% | 25.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.