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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Connecticut1.93+1.99vs Predicted
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2Bates College1.80+1.25vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.58+2.07vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College1.50-0.27vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University-1.20+2.30vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.78-1.23vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.39-4.53vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.43-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99University of Connecticut1.930.2%1st Place
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3.25Bates College1.800.2%1st Place
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5.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.580.1%1st Place
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3.73Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
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7.3Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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4.77University of New Hampshire0.780.1%1st Place
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2.47Northeastern University2.390.3%1st Place
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6.44Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Fuller | 21.1% | 22.4% | 20.1% | 18.2% | 11.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| John Cappetta | 18.9% | 17.9% | 19.9% | 18.8% | 14.3% | 7.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Timothy Forgione | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 17.8% | 25.6% | 18.9% | 5.4% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 12.7% | 15.1% | 17.0% | 20.1% | 18.4% | 11.4% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Earl Lin | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 19.3% | 65.6% |
| Emmet Todd | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 15.7% | 18.6% | 23.8% | 14.2% | 3.5% |
| John Wehner | 33.1% | 24.5% | 20.2% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| David Tampellini | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 18.2% | 38.4% | 24.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.