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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.81+5.21vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+3.31vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.25+3.55vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.71+4.58vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.09+2.41vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18+0.99vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.48+2.77vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.94+0.21vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30-1.54vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston0.96-2.14vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.13+0.25vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.57-5.05vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.37-2.61vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.48-3.97vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40-2.31vs Predicted
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16Fordham University0.54-5.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21Tufts University1.8110.1%1st Place
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5.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7713.5%1st Place
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6.55Roger Williams University1.2510.2%1st Place
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8.58University of Rhode Island0.714.7%1st Place
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7.41University of South Florida1.096.2%1st Place
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6.99Northeastern University1.188.5%1st Place
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9.77University of Miami0.484.5%1st Place
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8.21University of Wisconsin0.946.0%1st Place
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7.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.307.8%1st Place
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7.86College of Charleston0.966.7%1st Place
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11.25SUNY Maritime College0.132.1%1st Place
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6.95University of Michigan1.578.6%1st Place
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10.39Boston University0.372.9%1st Place
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10.03University of Vermont0.483.6%1st Place
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12.69University of California at Santa Barbara-0.401.5%1st Place
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10.35Fordham University0.543.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Toland | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 13.5% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Megan Gimple | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Ashley Delisser | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 6.9% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Ella Withington | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Clara Guarascio | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 16.8% |
| Jenna Probst | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.2% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 34.6% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.