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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Connecticut1.93+1.97vs Predicted
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2Bates College1.80+1.26vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.78+1.79vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.39-1.55vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College1.50-1.29vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.58-0.90vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-0.43-1.48vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.20-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97University of Connecticut1.930.2%1st Place
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3.26Bates College1.800.2%1st Place
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4.79University of New Hampshire0.780.1%1st Place
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2.45Northeastern University2.390.3%1st Place
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3.71Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
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5.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.580.0%1st Place
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6.52Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.21Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Fuller | 22.5% | 20.7% | 20.9% | 18.0% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| John Cappetta | 17.6% | 19.0% | 20.5% | 18.2% | 14.5% | 8.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Emmet Todd | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 21.2% | 24.1% | 13.6% | 3.9% |
| John Wehner | 32.4% | 26.2% | 18.8% | 13.5% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 13.2% | 14.7% | 18.8% | 17.0% | 18.9% | 13.0% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Timothy Forgione | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 13.1% | 18.0% | 27.0% | 16.9% | 5.6% |
| David Tampellini | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 14.3% | 36.7% | 30.1% |
| Earl Lin | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 24.4% | 59.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.