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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+4.38vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.25+4.69vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.94+5.29vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.57+2.73vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40+7.75vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.54+4.17vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.09+0.42vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston0.96-0.17vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.81-2.70vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30-2.84vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.18-4.02vs Predicted
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12University of Miami0.48-2.13vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.71-4.17vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.48-4.07vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.37-4.68vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.13-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7713.8%1st Place
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6.69Roger Williams University1.259.0%1st Place
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8.29University of Wisconsin0.945.5%1st Place
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6.73University of Michigan1.579.3%1st Place
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12.75University of California at Santa Barbara-0.401.8%1st Place
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10.17Fordham University0.542.9%1st Place
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7.42University of South Florida1.098.2%1st Place
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7.83College of Charleston0.966.7%1st Place
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6.3Tufts University1.8110.3%1st Place
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7.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.308.2%1st Place
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6.98Northeastern University1.187.8%1st Place
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9.87University of Miami0.483.4%1st Place
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8.83University of Rhode Island0.715.0%1st Place
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9.93University of Vermont0.483.5%1st Place
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10.32Boston University0.372.7%1st Place
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11.33SUNY Maritime College0.131.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 13.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Jenna Probst | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 15.6% | 35.2% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Talia Toland | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Ella Withington | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Ashley Delisser | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.8% |
| Megan Gimple | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.