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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Connecticut1.93+2.04vs Predicted
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2Bates College1.80+1.30vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.39-0.56vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College1.50-0.21vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.58+0.25vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.78-2.15vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-1.20-0.69vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.03-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04University of Connecticut1.930.2%1st Place
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3.3Bates College1.800.2%1st Place
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2.44Northeastern University2.390.3%1st Place
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3.79Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
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5.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.580.0%1st Place
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4.85University of New Hampshire0.780.1%1st Place
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7.31Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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6.03Sacred Heart University-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Fuller | 20.1% | 23.1% | 21.4% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| John Cappetta | 18.1% | 18.9% | 18.9% | 19.0% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| John Wehner | 33.4% | 25.6% | 19.5% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 12.9% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 18.0% | 19.8% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 0.5% |
| Timothy Forgione | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 22.9% | 22.3% | 7.2% |
| Emmet Todd | 6.9% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 20.9% | 17.2% | 4.3% |
| Earl Lin | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 14.1% | 70.1% |
| William Herlihy | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 11.6% | 20.8% | 33.5% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.