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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Connecticut1.93+2.00vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.58+3.23vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College1.50+0.72vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.39-1.55vs Predicted
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5Bates College1.80-1.73vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University-1.20+1.33vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.78-2.07vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-0.03-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0University of Connecticut1.930.2%1st Place
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5.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.580.1%1st Place
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3.72Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
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2.45Northeastern University2.390.3%1st Place
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3.27Bates College1.800.2%1st Place
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7.33Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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4.93University of New Hampshire0.780.1%1st Place
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6.06Sacred Heart University-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Fuller | 22.4% | 21.3% | 20.1% | 16.5% | 11.9% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Timothy Forgione | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 17.3% | 23.7% | 22.6% | 6.7% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 13.3% | 14.6% | 18.7% | 17.4% | 18.0% | 13.0% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| John Wehner | 33.3% | 24.9% | 17.4% | 15.5% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| John Cappetta | 16.3% | 20.3% | 20.8% | 18.5% | 14.0% | 7.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Earl Lin | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 14.9% | 69.6% |
| Emmet Todd | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 18.7% | 22.6% | 16.8% | 5.6% |
| William Herlihy | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 19.7% | 36.9% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.