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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Connecticut1.93+1.97vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College1.50+1.73vs Predicted
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3Bates College1.80+0.23vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.39-1.58vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.78-0.15vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.58-1.87vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-1.20-0.76vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.43-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97University of Connecticut1.930.2%1st Place
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3.73Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
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3.23Bates College1.800.2%1st Place
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2.42Northeastern University2.390.3%1st Place
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4.85University of New Hampshire0.780.1%1st Place
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5.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.580.1%1st Place
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7.24Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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6.43Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Fuller | 22.1% | 22.4% | 19.8% | 17.3% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 12.9% | 15.6% | 16.5% | 19.5% | 18.0% | 11.7% | 5.3% | 0.5% |
| John Cappetta | 19.1% | 18.0% | 20.6% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 7.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| John Wehner | 32.4% | 26.3% | 19.6% | 13.3% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emmet Todd | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 21.7% | 24.3% | 14.6% | 3.3% |
| Timothy Forgione | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 25.7% | 18.7% | 5.6% |
| Earl Lin | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 18.8% | 64.9% |
| David Tampellini | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 17.0% | 38.4% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.