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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Connecticut1.93+2.00vs Predicted
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2Bates College1.80+1.24vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College1.50+0.70vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.58+1.13vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.78-0.17vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.39-3.60vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-1.20-0.75vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.43-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0University of Connecticut1.930.2%1st Place
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3.24Bates College1.800.2%1st Place
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3.7Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
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5.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.580.1%1st Place
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4.83University of New Hampshire0.780.1%1st Place
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2.4Northeastern University2.390.3%1st Place
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7.25Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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6.45Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Fuller | 21.1% | 23.2% | 19.7% | 16.5% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| John Cappetta | 17.6% | 20.2% | 19.2% | 19.1% | 13.9% | 7.8% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 14.1% | 13.9% | 17.1% | 20.1% | 18.3% | 11.5% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
| Timothy Forgione | 5.2% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 17.7% | 26.2% | 19.8% | 4.9% |
| Emmet Todd | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 21.4% | 22.0% | 15.6% | 3.5% |
| John Wehner | 33.2% | 26.1% | 19.1% | 13.3% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Earl Lin | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 8.0% | 16.7% | 65.8% |
| David Tampellini | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 8.2% | 16.5% | 39.2% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.