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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Connecticut1.93+1.83vs Predicted
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2Bates College1.80+1.13vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College1.50+0.51vs Predicted
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4Bentley University0.02+2.11vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.58+0.05vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.78-1.18vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.83-2.26vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-1.20-0.07vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.43-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83University of Connecticut1.930.3%1st Place
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3.13Bates College1.800.2%1st Place
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3.51Middlebury College1.500.2%1st Place
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6.11Bentley University0.020.0%1st Place
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5.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.580.1%1st Place
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4.82University of New Hampshire0.780.1%1st Place
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4.74Northeastern University0.830.1%1st Place
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7.93Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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6.88Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Fuller | 27.2% | 22.4% | 19.6% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Cappetta | 21.1% | 22.8% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 18.1% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Kristina Schneider | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 20.3% | 19.6% | 11.6% |
| Timothy Forgione | 6.6% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 4.2% |
| Emmet Todd | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 2.1% |
| William Manning | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 7.4% | 1.9% |
| Earl Lin | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 18.3% | 58.6% |
| David Tampellini | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 18.3% | 30.3% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.