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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Sarah Fuller 27.2% 22.4% 19.6% 13.4% 9.6% 4.8% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0%
John Cappetta 21.1% 22.8% 18.2% 15.7% 10.7% 7.0% 2.7% 1.7% 0.1%
Jack Kerby-Miller 18.1% 18.1% 16.7% 16.3% 13.1% 10.3% 5.3% 1.9% 0.2%
Kristina Schneider 4.1% 4.5% 6.2% 7.8% 11.1% 14.8% 20.3% 19.6% 11.6%
Timothy Forgione 6.6% 9.0% 13.2% 11.5% 14.0% 14.8% 14.9% 11.8% 4.2%
Emmet Todd 8.9% 8.6% 11.5% 13.2% 16.1% 16.9% 14.1% 8.6% 2.1%
William Manning 9.1% 10.2% 9.2% 15.7% 15.2% 17.1% 14.2% 7.4% 1.9%
Earl Lin 1.5% 1.4% 1.6% 2.5% 3.7% 4.8% 7.6% 18.3% 58.6%
David Tampellini 3.4% 3.0% 3.8% 3.9% 6.5% 9.5% 18.3% 30.3% 21.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.