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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College1.80+2.01vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut1.93+0.96vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College1.50+0.51vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.78+0.71vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.83-0.41vs Predicted
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7Bentley University0.02-0.81vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.58-2.81vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.20-1.06vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University-0.43-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01Bates College1.800.3%1st Place
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2.96University of Connecticut1.930.2%1st Place
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3.51Middlebury College1.500.2%1st Place
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4.71University of New Hampshire0.780.1%1st Place
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4.59Northeastern University0.830.1%1st Place
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6.19Bentley University0.020.0%1st Place
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5.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.580.1%1st Place
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7.94Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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6.89Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Cappetta | 25.2% | 21.8% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fuller | 23.9% | 24.5% | 17.5% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 18.0% | 16.2% | 18.7% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Emmet Todd | 8.5% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 7.6% | 2.3% |
| William Manning | 8.9% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 2.6% |
| Kristina Schneider | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 20.8% | 22.1% | 11.1% |
| Timothy Forgione | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 18.4% | 16.9% | 10.9% | 3.6% |
| Earl Lin | 1.5% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 18.7% | 58.2% |
| David Tampellini | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 18.6% | 29.1% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.