Race 2A

northwest-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ryan Grosch 12.4% 10.5% 13.6% 13.9% 13.8% 11.5% 12.8% 7.9% 3.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Christopher Cyr 11.5% 14.6% 12.4% 13.4% 13.0% 11.9% 10.7% 8.5% 3.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Soren Walljasper 15.7% 13.8% 14.9% 12.2% 13.4% 10.6% 11.3% 6.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
James Harvey 10.6% 11.4% 12.6% 11.8% 12.3% 13.1% 11.6% 10.6% 5.1% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Mike Flanigan 16.9% 19.3% 15.9% 12.7% 10.6% 10.6% 6.7% 5.1% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Oltrogge 14.8% 13.2% 12.0% 14.1% 14.3% 9.7% 9.9% 8.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Norman 7.0% 7.4% 7.1% 8.2% 8.5% 11.8% 15.8% 19.1% 10.9% 2.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Amelia Shankwitz 8.6% 7.7% 9.0% 9.5% 10.5% 14.4% 12.5% 17.2% 8.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.0%
Tyler Weiss 0.9% 0.4% 0.5% 1.0% 0.9% 1.6% 2.3% 4.7% 18.1% 27.7% 26.9% 15.0%
Lucas Bertolet 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 1.9% 1.7% 2.6% 1.9% 4.7% 18.1% 27.6% 26.5% 13.4%
Harry Posner 1.0% 0.9% 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 1.9% 3.5% 5.2% 21.1% 26.3% 23.3% 14.6%
Bryan Enriquez 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 1.0% 1.4% 6.0% 11.3% 21.2% 56.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.