Race 3A

northwest-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Mike Flanigan 18.7% 15.8% 15.0% 15.1% 11.8% 9.2% 8.0% 4.3% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Cyr 12.2% 15.1% 12.4% 11.7% 13.5% 10.1% 12.2% 9.6% 2.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Soren Walljasper 15.8% 13.8% 14.2% 14.0% 11.2% 12.2% 10.3% 6.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Oltrogge 11.7% 17.3% 12.7% 12.2% 12.0% 13.1% 9.9% 7.5% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Amelia Shankwitz 7.4% 8.4% 7.9% 10.2% 10.7% 12.0% 13.9% 16.8% 10.2% 2.4% 0.0% 0.1%
James Harvey 11.6% 10.2% 12.0% 11.3% 12.6% 12.5% 13.0% 12.1% 3.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryan Grosch 15.0% 11.9% 14.5% 12.6% 11.8% 12.4% 10.3% 8.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucas Bertolet 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 1.3% 1.7% 2.7% 3.0% 5.3% 17.0% 27.6% 26.6% 13.2%
Ian Norman 5.3% 5.9% 8.4% 9.0% 11.1% 11.2% 14.6% 18.8% 12.4% 2.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Tyler Weiss 0.5% 0.1% 0.6% 2.0% 1.7% 2.6% 1.3% 3.8% 17.0% 26.9% 27.4% 16.1%
Harry Posner 1.0% 0.7% 1.2% 0.6% 1.6% 1.5% 2.3% 4.9% 21.9% 25.5% 26.5% 12.3%
Bryan Enriquez 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.3% 0.5% 1.2% 2.3% 6.1% 11.4% 18.9% 58.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.