Race 5A

northwest-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Emily Oltrogge 13.0% 12.4% 12.6% 16.6% 12.3% 11.8% 11.9% 5.9% 3.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryan Grosch 12.8% 13.4% 14.2% 13.2% 11.3% 12.4% 10.7% 8.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Mike Flanigan 18.5% 15.3% 16.2% 12.9% 12.1% 11.4% 8.1% 4.4% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Cyr 11.4% 14.0% 14.1% 11.7% 13.2% 13.2% 10.8% 7.5% 3.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Norman 5.9% 6.5% 7.5% 7.6% 11.4% 11.2% 14.4% 19.6% 11.4% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Amelia Shankwitz 7.4% 8.6% 8.5% 8.1% 10.5% 12.2% 15.1% 18.2% 9.2% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Soren Walljasper 15.6% 16.8% 12.7% 14.3% 13.0% 10.7% 8.0% 6.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
James Harvey 12.9% 11.4% 11.7% 11.0% 11.9% 11.6% 12.3% 11.1% 5.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Harry Posner 0.9% 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 1.7% 3.1% 6.8% 21.3% 29.0% 23.0% 10.6%
Lucas Bertolet 0.4% 0.3% 0.7% 1.9% 2.1% 2.0% 2.1% 5.0% 18.4% 27.7% 26.0% 13.4%
Tyler Weiss 0.9% 0.5% 0.5% 1.3% 0.8% 1.4% 2.2% 3.9% 16.9% 24.6% 27.9% 19.1%
Bryan Enriquez 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 1.3% 2.1% 5.7% 10.6% 21.5% 56.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.