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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.01+3.39vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame2.27+1.76vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.95+1.49vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.20+2.05vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.40+0.58vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.93-1.54vs Predicted
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9Washington University1.78-4.29vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.11-5.96vs Predicted
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12University of Chicago-0.92-2.35vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-1.13-3.07vs Predicted
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14University of Notre Dame-2.09-2.86vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University-1.02-7.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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3.76University of Notre Dame2.270.2%1st Place
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4.49University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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6.05University of Wisconsin1.200.1%1st Place
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5.58University of Wisconsin1.400.1%1st Place
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4.46University of Michigan1.930.1%1st Place
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4.71Washington University1.780.1%1st Place
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4.04University of Wisconsin2.110.2%1st Place
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9.65University of Chicago-0.920.0%1st Place
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9.93University of Michigan-1.130.0%1st Place
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11.14University of Notre Dame-2.090.0%1st Place
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9.81Northwestern University-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Oltrogge | 13.1% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mike Flanigan | 16.9% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 13.5% | 10.3% | 15.9% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Norman | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 21.1% | 12.4% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Amelia Shankwitz | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Cyr | 12.6% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Harvey | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Soren Walljasper | 17.6% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Posner | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 22.0% | 28.1% | 24.8% | 10.0% |
| Tyler Weiss | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 15.9% | 26.6% | 29.0% | 15.6% |
| Bryan Enriquez | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 18.6% | 60.7% |
| Lucas Bertolet | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 5.6% | 19.0% | 26.9% | 26.8% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.