Race 7A

northwest-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ryan Anderson 5.9% 6.5% 7.4% 7.9% 7.5% 9.4% 13.1% 14.8% 18.5% 7.5% 1.5% 0.0%
Emily Oltrogge 12.0% 12.9% 13.7% 12.2% 13.9% 10.7% 10.1% 7.9% 5.0% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Cyr 12.3% 11.6% 10.7% 12.3% 11.4% 11.8% 11.6% 9.6% 6.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Ryan Grosch 12.1% 11.5% 13.1% 12.9% 12.3% 10.6% 8.8% 9.3% 7.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Mike Flanigan 16.4% 16.7% 14.9% 12.1% 11.3% 10.6% 7.0% 6.1% 4.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
James Harvey 10.4% 10.9% 10.3% 10.8% 12.0% 12.1% 9.8% 10.5% 10.1% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Amelia Shankwitz 7.4% 9.3% 6.8% 8.9% 9.0% 9.8% 12.9% 14.7% 13.7% 6.5% 1.0% 0.0%
Soren Walljasper 17.1% 13.6% 12.9% 12.4% 10.5% 10.2% 10.1% 7.4% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Ian Norman 4.9% 5.7% 7.6% 8.1% 9.0% 11.3% 12.3% 14.2% 17.0% 8.6% 1.1% 0.2%
Harry Posner 0.4% 0.6% 1.1% 1.4% 2.3% 2.1% 2.0% 1.9% 6.0% 33.0% 35.9% 13.3%
Tyler Weiss 0.8% 0.5% 1.1% 0.7% 0.5% 1.0% 1.4% 2.8% 5.1% 25.9% 37.2% 23.0%
Bryan Enriquez 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.9% 0.8% 2.1% 8.6% 22.2% 63.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.