Race 8A

northwest-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Emily Oltrogge 13.4% 10.3% 12.2% 13.6% 12.9% 10.8% 11.9% 7.4% 5.3% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Ryan Anderson 5.6% 5.3% 8.0% 8.0% 10.6% 9.0% 11.0% 16.4% 18.7% 6.0% 1.3% 0.1%
Christopher Cyr 12.9% 11.4% 11.8% 10.5% 10.9% 13.8% 10.3% 9.4% 7.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Mike Flanigan 15.4% 17.9% 13.0% 14.7% 10.9% 9.7% 8.8% 5.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Soren Walljasper 15.3% 14.4% 13.2% 12.4% 11.9% 9.9% 8.1% 8.2% 5.2% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Ian Norman 5.6% 5.7% 8.2% 5.9% 8.5% 9.3% 11.9% 14.6% 19.1% 9.4% 1.5% 0.3%
James Harvey 10.4% 11.7% 10.4% 11.8% 10.3% 12.7% 11.6% 10.8% 7.5% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Amelia Shankwitz 8.6% 8.2% 7.0% 8.4% 9.1% 10.1% 12.4% 12.4% 16.6% 5.7% 1.4% 0.1%
Ryan Grosch 11.4% 13.8% 14.0% 12.2% 11.8% 11.3% 10.4% 8.8% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Harry Posner 0.2% 0.7% 0.9% 1.6% 2.2% 1.8% 1.9% 2.3% 6.6% 33.0% 35.6% 13.2%
Tyler Weiss 0.9% 0.4% 0.9% 0.5% 0.7% 1.1% 1.3% 3.2% 4.2% 26.7% 37.1% 23.0%
Bryan Enriquez 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 1.3% 1.4% 9.6% 22.0% 63.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.