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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.13+2.13vs Predicted
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2William and Mary1.20+2.84vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.53-0.52vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.74+1.85vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.27-0.28vs Predicted
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6Washington University0.67+0.02vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame0.86-1.46vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.51-1.71vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago-1.32-0.05vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-1.18-2.33vs Predicted
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14University of Notre Dame-1.35-3.94vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University-1.01-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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4.84William and Mary1.200.1%1st Place
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2.48University of Minnesota2.530.3%1st Place
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5.85University of Wisconsin0.740.1%1st Place
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4.72University of Wisconsin1.270.1%1st Place
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6.02Washington University0.670.1%1st Place
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5.54University of Notre Dame0.860.1%1st Place
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6.29University of Michigan0.510.1%1st Place
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9.95University of Chicago-1.320.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Michigan-1.180.0%1st Place
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10.06University of Notre Dame-1.350.0%1st Place
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9.46Northwestern University-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Kent | 22.3% | 21.0% | 18.8% | 16.5% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan McMahon | 8.0% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Wheeler Morris | 34.8% | 25.1% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Walter | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Jamieson | 9.0% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Cohen | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 10.6% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Christian Koerwer | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Davidson | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Katy Carlyle | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 12.6% | 18.9% | 24.1% | 26.4% |
| Zachary Frankel | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 12.7% | 20.9% | 23.5% | 21.7% |
| Alex Jones | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 18.3% | 22.8% | 31.6% |
| Cameron Tehranchi | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 15.4% | 20.3% | 21.6% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.